Pro Football Terminal — NFL projections, playoff odds & analytics

Division

NFC East

Team	2025 Rec	Win Div	Playoff
PHI	11-6	48%	60%
DAL	7-9-1	18%	28%
WAS	5-12	23%	35%
NYG	4-13	11%	18%

Record = 2025 final · odds = 2026 simulation

2026 Outlook

Projected wins

8.0p10 5.0 — p90 10.0

Round	Prob
Win division	17.7%
Make playoffs	27.6%
Divisional rd.	13.0%
Conf. champ.	5.4%
Super Bowl	2.2%
Win SB	0.8%

2026 Schedule

proj record 7.8–9.2

Schedule

6th

toughest of 32

Offenses faced

2nd

toughest of 32

Defenses faced

22nd

toughest of 32

Wk	Opp	Opp	Score	Proj	Win%
1	@NYG	-2.4	26–28	-1.3	46%
2	vsWAS	-0.3	31–28	+3.2	59%
3	vsBAL	+2.0	23–28	-5.1	35%
4	@HOU	+2.0	17–29	-11.9	19%
5	vsTB	+1.0	28–29	-0.3	49%
6	@GB	+1.8	25–33	-8.5	26%
7	@PHI	+1.6	20–30	-10.0	23%
8	vsARI	-0.7	30–28	+2.1	56%
9	@IND	+1.3	25–30	-5.0	36%
10	vsSF	+2.3	28–32	-4.4	37%
11	vsTEN	-4.1	30–21	+8.9	75%
12	vsPHI	+1.6	21–28	-7.4	29%
13	@SEA	+3.5	20–26	-6.5	32%
15	@LAR	+3.7	20–33	-13.5	16%
16	vsJAX	+1.5	22–28	-6.5	32%
17	vsNYG	-2.4	28–26	+1.3	54%
18	@WAS	-0.3	31–31	-0.1	50%

Quarterbacks · 3

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
QB	1st	Dak Prescott	6'2"	238	32	Mississippi State
QB	2nd	Joe Milton	6'5"	246	26	Tennessee
QB	3rd	Sam Howell	6'1"	225	25	North Carolina

Running Backs · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
FB	1st	Hunter Luepke	6'1"	238	26	North Dakota State
RB	1st	Javonte Williams	5'10"	220	26	North Carolina
RB	2nd	Malik Davis	5'11"	202	27	Florida
RB	3rd	Jaydon Blue	5'9"	196	22	Texas
RB	4th	Phil Mafah	6'0"	234	23	Clemson
RB	5th	Israel Abanikanda	5'10"	217	23	Pittsburgh
RB	—	Dominic Richardson	6'0"	204	25	Tulsa; New Mexico State

Wide Receivers · 13

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
WR	1st	CeeDee Lamb	6'2"	200	27	Oklahoma
WR	2nd	George Pickens	6'3"	200	25	Georgia
WR	3rd	Ryan Flournoy	6'1"	200	26	Southeast Missouri State
WR	4th	KaVontae Turpin	5'9"	153	29	TCU
WR	5th	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	6'4"	206	31	South Florida
WR	6th	Jonathan Mingo	6'2"	220	25	Ole Miss
WR	7th	Tyler Johnson	6'1"	208	27	Minnesota
WR	8th	Anthony Smith	6'2"	197	24	East Carolina
WR	9th	Traeshon Holden	6'3"	205	24	Oregon
WR	—	Camden Brown	6'2"	204	—	Georgia Southern; Auburn
WR	—	Jaden Smith	6'6"	210	24	Nevada; Tarleton State; Montana State
WR	—	Jordan Hudson	6'1"	191	22	SMU; TCU
WR	—	Parris Campbell	6'0"	208	28	Ohio State

Tight Ends · 5

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
TE	1st	Jake Ferguson	6'5"	244	27	Wisconsin
TE	2nd	Luke Schoonmaker	6'5"	250	27	Michigan
TE	3rd	Brevyn Spann-Ford	6'7"	270	26	Minnesota
TE	4th	Princeton Fant	6'2"	235	27	Tennessee
TE	5th	Michael Trigg	6'4"	240	23	Baylor

Offensive Line · 14

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
OL	—	Ajani Cornelius	6'4"	310	24	Oregon; Rhode Island
OL	—	Cooper Beebe	6'4"	335	25	Kansas State
OL	—	Drew Shelton	6'7"	313	22	Penn State
OL	—	Marcellus Johnson	6'4"	307	26	Missouri; Eastern Michigan
OL	—	Matt Hennessy	6'4"	295	28	Temple
OL	—	Nathan Thomas	6'5"	330	24	Louisiana-Lafayette
OL	—	Nick Leverett	6'4"	310	28	Rice; North Carolina Central
OL	—	Shiyazh Pete	6'9"	309	23	Kentucky; New Mexico State
OL	—	TJ Bass	6'4"	325	27	Oregon; Butte College
OL	—	Terence Steele	6'6"	310	29	Texas Tech
OL	—	Trevor Keegan	6'5"	306	25	Michigan
OL	—	Tyler Booker	6'4"	321	22	Alabama
OL	—	Tyler Guyton	6'7"	322	24	Oklahoma; TCU
OL	—	Tyler Smith	6'5"	332	25	Tulsa

Interior D-Line · 8

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LDE	1st	Quinnen Williams	6'3"	303	28	Alabama
NT	1st	Otito Ogbonnia	6'4"	320	25	UCLA
RDE	1st	Kenny Clark	6'3"	314	30	UCLA
NT	2nd	Jay Toia	6'2"	342	22	UCLA
RDE	2nd	Jonathan Bullard	6'3"	290	32	Florida
DL	—	Adedayo Odeleye	6'5"	271	28
DL	—	Kelvin Gilliam	6'3"	295	23	Virginia Tech; Oklahoma
DL	—	Tommy Dunn	6'3"	291	23	Kansas

Edge Rushers · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
SLB	1st	Donovan Ezeiruaku	6'2"	248	23	Boston College
WLB	1st	Rashan Gary	6'5"	277	28	Michigan
LDE	2nd	Tyrus Wheat	6'2"	260	26	Mississippi State
SLB	2nd	Malachi Lawrence	6'4"	263	22	UCF
SLB	3rd	Sam Williams	6'4"	261	27	Mississippi
SLB	4th	Isaiah Land	6'4"	235	26	Florida A&M
WLB	4th	James Houston	6'1"	241	27	Jackson State

Linebackers · 8

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LILB	1st	DeMarvion Overshown	6'2"	220	25	Texas
RILB	1st	Dee Winters	5'11"	227	25	TCU
LILB	2nd	Justin Barron	6'4"	235	24	Syracuse
RILB	2nd	Shemar James	6'1"	222	21	Florida
WLB	2nd	Jaishawn Barham	6'2"	240	22	Michigan
RILB	3rd	Marist Liufau	6'2"	239	25	Notre Dame
RILB	4th	Curtis Robinson	6'3"	235	28	Stanford
LB	—	Langston Patterson	6'0"	229	—	Vanderbilt

Defensive Backs · 18

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
FS	1st	Malik Hooker	6'2"	212	30	Ohio State
LCB	1st	Decobie Durant	5'11"	182	28	South Carolina State
NB	1st	Caleb Downs	6'0"	205	21	Ohio State
RCB	1st	DaRon Bland	6'0"	197	26	Fresno State
SS	1st	Jalen Thompson	5'11"	190	27	Washington State
FS	2nd	P.J. Locke	5'10"	202	29	Texas
LCB	2nd	Shavon Revel	6'1"	194	24	East Carolina
NB	2nd	Reddy Steward	5'11"	178	25	Troy
RCB	2nd	Devin Moore	6'3"	198	22	Florida
SS	2nd	Markquese Bell	6'3"	205	27	Florida A&M
FS	3rd	Alijah Clark	6'1"	187	22	Syracuse
LCB	3rd	Caelen Carson	6'0"	195	24	Wake Forest
NB	3rd	Zion Childress	5'11"	203	24	Kentucky
RCB	3rd	Corey Ballentine	5'11"	196	30	Washburn
SS	3rd	Julius Wood	6'1"	193	25	East Carolina
LCB	4th	Derion Kendrick	6'0"	199	25	Georgia
RCB	4th	Josh Butler	6'0"	182	29	Michigan State
LCB	5th	Trikweze Bridges	6'2"	200	25	Florida

Special Teams · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
H	1st	Bryan Anger	6'3"	202	37	California
KR	1st	KaVontae Turpin	5'9"	153	29	TCU
P	1st	Bryan Anger	6'3"	202	37	California
PK	1st	Brandon Aubrey	6'3"	218	31	Notre Dame
PR	1st	KaVontae Turpin	5'9"	153	29	TCU
KR	2nd	Jaydon Blue	5'9"	196	22	Texas
LS	—	Trent Sieg	6'4"	240	31	Colorado State

Team Profile

2025 · pct vs league

Pass Off	0.16	#6	84%
Rush Off	0.01	#14	58%
Pass Def	0.22	#31	3%
Rush Def	0.09	#31	3%
Scoring Off	471	#7	81%
Scoring Def	511	#32	0%

Advanced Profile

2025 · rank of 32

Pass Protection

Pressure % allowed21.5%15th

Sack % allowed4.7%6th

Pocket time2.40s16th

Run Blocking

Yds before contact / rush2.6yd14th

Pass Rush

Pressures2082nd

Sacks3522nd

Coverage

Completion % allowed74.6%32nd

Passer rtg allowed11131st

Special Teams

FG %85.7%15th

Punt net avg42.6yd13th

Identity

Avg depth of target8.1yd—

aggregated from roster PFR / special-teams stats · green = top of league

EPA Trend

EPA/play by season · adj

NetOffDefDef: lower = better

Performance · 2025

7-9-1 · -40 pt diff

Metric	Off	Def	Rk
EPA / play (adj)	+0.086	+0.152	20
EPA / play (raw)	+0.100	+0.138	3/32
Pass EPA	+0.160	+0.221	6/31
Rush EPA	+0.005	+0.095	14/31
Points	471	511	—

Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.

Team Leaders

2025

Passing Yds	Prescott4,552·Milton183
Rushing Yds	Williams1,201·Davis250·Prescott177
Receiving Yds	Pickens1,429·Lamb1,077·Ferguson600
Sacks	Clowney8.5·Houston5.5·Odighizuwa3.5
Interceptions	Wilson2·Bland1·Williams1
Solo Tackles	Bland44·James40·Wilson39

Scoring Trend

2025 · pts/game

PPG For

27.7

7th in NFL

PPG Against

30.1

32nd in NFL

Differential

-2.4

20th in NFL

— Points for— Points against

dots: W / L

Season Results

7-9 · 7-10 ATS

WinLossCoveredmargin per game

Season History · last 10

5 playoffs · SB 0-0

Season	Regular	Playoffs	Super Bowl
2025	7-9-1	—	—
2024	7-10	—	—
2023	12-5	0-1	—
2022	12-5	1-1	—
2021	12-5	0-1	—
2020	6-10	—	—
2019	8-8	—	—
2018	10-6	1-1	—
2017	9-7	—	—
2016	13-3	0-1	—

Situational Splits

2025 · record · pts

Split	Record	PF	PA
Venue
Home	4-3-1	29.9	30.4
Away	3-6	25.8	29.8
Competition
One-score (≤8)	4-3-1	29.8	29.6
vs Winning teams	1-6-1	24.4	34
Environment
Indoors	5-4-1	30.2	30.3
Outdoors	2-5	24.1	29.7
Grass	2-4	24.7	28
Turf	5-5-1	29.4	31.2
Cold (<40°F)	0-1	17	34

Recent Form · last 5

1-4 SU · 0-5 ATS · O5/U0

Wk	Opp	Score	Mgn	Spread	Total
18	@NYG	L 17-34	-17	+3.0✗	50.5O
17	@WAS	W 30-23	+7	+8.5✗	50.5O
16	vsLAC	L 17-34	-17	+1.5✗	50.5O
15	vsMIN	L 26-34	-8	+5.5✗	47.5O
14	@DET	L 30-44	-14	-3.5✗	55.5O

Betting Profile

2025

Straight up	7-9-1
ATS	7-1041%
Over / Under	13-4 O-U
— ATS splits —
As favorite	5-2
As underdog	2-8
Home	4-4
Away	3-6

vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover

Cap & Roster Construction

APY $321M· gtd $468M

OFF $167M (52%)DEF $144M (45%)ST $10.2M

Group	Players	APY	% Total
QB	3	$63.5M	20%
RB	6	$16.0M	5%
WR	8	$71.6M	22%
TE	4	$16.1M	5%
DL	5	$51.2M	16%
EDGE	6	$24.5M	8%
LB	6	$7.1M	2%
DB	16	$61.0M	19%
ST	2	$10.2M	3%

Top Contracts

Player	Yrs	Total	Gtd	APY	Cap%
Dak PrescottQB	4	$240M	$129M	$60.0M	23.5%
CeeDee LambWR	4	$136M	$67.0M	$34.0M	13.3%
George PickensWR	1	$27.3M	$27.3M	$27.3M	9.1%
Quinnen WilliamsDT	4	$96.0M	$47.8M	$24.0M	10.7%
DaRon BlandCB	4	$90.0M	$36.3M	$22.5M	8.1%
Kenny ClarkDT	3	$64.0M	$17.5M	$21.3M	8.4%

Pending Free Agents

Player	Free	APY
George PickensWR	2027	$27.3M
Quinnen WilliamsDT	2027	$24.0M
Kenny ClarkDT	2027	$21.3M
Malik HookerS	2027	$5.0M
P.J. LockeS	2027	$4.0M
Decobie DurantCB	2027	$4.0M
Hunter LuepkeRB	2027	$3.5M
Bryan AngerPN	2027	$3.2M

Roster Profile

avg age 26.2

R1 7Day2 13Day3 25UDFA 21

Homegrown 21 (32%)Acquired 45

Avg experience3.7 yrs

Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)6 / 7

Group	Players	Avg Age
QB	3	27.7
RB	6	24.5
WR	9	26.4
TE	5	26
DL	5	27.4
EDGE	7	25.6
LB	7	24.3
DB	18	25.7
ST	6	30.8

Injury Report · 4

last report week 0

Pos	Player	Status
WR	Jonathan Mingo	Questionable
S	Jalen Thompson	Questionable
DE	Donovan Ezeiruaku	Questionable
CB	DaRon Bland	Questionable

DAL News

20 items

Drew Pearson's 'I scored a touchdown' story: SB X
This "I scored a touchdown" story is focused on Drew Pearson's touchdown for the Cowboys in Super Bowl X.
DAL14h
Former NFL defensive lineman Aldon Smith dies at age 36
Aldon Smith, who played six seasons in the NFL with the 49ers, Raiders and Cowboys, has died at age 36.
DAL Aldon Smith1d
Dak Prescott: Quarterbacks are judged by winning that last game
Dak Prescott and Tony Romo own all of the Cowboys' major passing records.
DAL Dak Prescott3d
DeMarvion Overshown ready for new responsibilities, a chance to prove himself
The Cowboys drafted linebacker DeMarvion Overshown in the third round in 2023.
DAL DeMarvion Overshown3d
Former NFL WR Lance Rentzel dies at 82
Former NFL wide receiver Lance Rentzel died Sunday in Virginia, Kevin Sherrington of the Dallas Morning News reports.
DAL3d
How Prescott's leadership has grown in decade with Cowboys
After 10 seasons, Prescott's focus is on helping his teammates grow so they can attain the ultimate goal of winning a Super Bowl.
DAL Dak Prescott3d
Rich Eisen: Cowboys will have a top-10 defense this season
Rich Eisen: Cowboys will have a top-10 defense this season
DAL4d
Dak Prescott last threw to George Pickens in April, has no idea if the WR will attend minicamp
Cowboys wide receiver George Pickens signed the franchise tag on April 29.
DAL5d
Sam Howell and Joe Milton will get equal reps in competition to be Cowboys' No. 2 QB
The Cowboys are having an open competition to see who Dak Prescott's backup will be this season.
DAL5d
'Make Tyler earn it': Pressure is on Cowboys' Tyler Guyton
The Cowboys need Guyton, their 2024 first-rounder, to stay healthy and consistent and win the left tackle job.
DAL5d
With his knee 100 percent, Shavon Revel working on "situational ball"
The Cowboys drafted cornerback Shavon Revel Jr. in the third round in 2025, knowing he would miss part of his rookie season.
DAL Shavon Revel6d
Ranking the NFL's top new WR-QB duos, plus Cowboys win total might be the safest bet in the NFC East
Here's everything you need to know about the NFL for June 8
DAL6d
CeeDee Lamb: Our new defense is "annoying to prepare against"
It will still be some time before we see the Cowboys defense against an opposing offense, but there's been enough practice time for members of the Dallas offense to draw some insights into the new scheme.
DAL CeeDee Lamb6d
Lacking a star, Cowboys lean on depth for their pass rush
With the likes of Myles Garrett out of the picture, Dallas will lean on Rashan Gary and Malachi Lawrence in 2026.
DAL Rashan Gary8d
DaRon Bland, Donovan Ezeiruaku are expected to be ready for training camp
Cowboys cornerback DaRon Bland and edge rusher Donovan Ezeiruaku aren't practicing with their teammates yet as they continue rehabbing.
DAL9d
Cowboys agree to terms with first-rounder Malachi Lawrence
The Cowboys have all of their draft picks under contract.
DAL Malachi Lawrence9d
Tyler Guyton in competition with Nate Thomas for starting LT job
The Cowboys selected offensive tackle Tyler Guyton with the 29th overall pick in 2024.
DAL Tyler Guyton10d
Cowboys OTAs notebook: George Pickens' status for minicamp, plus true competition at left tackle, more
Pickens, who is set to play out 2026 on the franchise tag, has yet to attend OTAS this spring
DAL George Pickens10d
Cowboys to hold a joint practice with the Rams in addition to the Saints
The Cowboys and Rams do not play in the preseason, but they both train in Southern California.
DAL10d
Schottenheimer: I expect Pickens will be at mandatory minicamp for Cowboys
Schottenheimer: I expect Pickens will be at mandatory minicamp for Cowboys
DAL George Pickens10d